Optimal cut-off value of reverse remodeling to predict long-term outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy

Background: patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) vs. non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) is unclear. This study aimed to clarify this value in patients with ICM and NICM. Methods and results: LV reverse remodeling was defined as a reduction in LV end-systolic volume (LVESV) at 6 months after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). The clinical endpoint was the combination of cardiac death and first hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Ninety-one of 372 patients had ICM. Event-free survival rates did not differ between ICM and NICM groups (66.8% vs. 78.9%; p = 0.12). Receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed a 9% reduction in ESV as the optimal cut-off value to predict the composite endpoint in patients with ICM and a 15% reduction in patients with NICM. Multivariate analysis revealed that reductions in ESV of >= 15% and >= 9% were independent predictors of the composite endpoint, as were left bundle branch block (LBBB) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) at 6 months after CRT. In combination with LBBB and BNP, reduction in ESV >= 9% had a higher, but not significant, C-statistics value than ESV >15% (0.854, 95% CI 0.729-0.940 vs. 0.801, 95% CI 0.702-0.908, p = 0.07). Conclusion: The optimal cut-off value of a reduction in LVESV was lower in patients with ICM than in patients with NICM. (C) 2016 Japanese College of Cardiology. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.