WILL GLOBAL WARMING MAKE HURRICANE FORECASTING MORE DIFFICULT?

被引:151
作者
Emanuel, Kerry [1 ]
机构
[1] MIT, Lorenz Ctr, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
INTENSITY;
D O I
10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0134.1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
As the climate continues to warm, hurricanes may intensify more rapidly just before striking land, making hurricane forecasting more difficult. © 2017 American Meteorological Society.
引用
收藏
页码:495 / 501
页数:7
相关论文
共 28 条
[11]  
2
[12]   THE DEPENDENCE OF HURRICANE INTENSITY ON CLIMATE [J].
EMANUEL, KA .
NATURE, 1987, 326 (6112) :483-485
[13]   Hurricanes and global warming - Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations [J].
Emanuel, Kerry ;
Sundararajan, Ragoth ;
Williams, John .
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2008, 89 (03) :347-+
[14]   Effect of Upper-Ocean Evolution on Projected Trends in Tropical Cyclone Activity [J].
Emanuel, Kerry .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 28 (20) :8165-8170
[15]   Self-Stratification of Tropical Cyclone Outflow. Part II: Implications for Storm Intensification [J].
Emanuel, Kerry .
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2012, 69 (03) :988-996
[16]  
Kalnay E, 1996, B AM METEOROL SOC, V77, P437, DOI 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO
[17]  
2
[18]   Are Special Processes at Work in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones? [J].
Kowch, Roman ;
Emanuel, Kerry .
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2015, 143 (03) :878-882
[19]   Atlantic Hurricane Database Uncertainty and Presentation of a New Database Format [J].
Landsea, Christopher W. ;
Franklin, James L. .
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2013, 141 (10) :3576-3592
[20]  
National Hurricane Center, 2016, BEST TRACK DAT HURDA