Influence of stochastic sea ice parametrization on climate and the role of atmosphere-sea ice-ocean interaction

被引:20
作者
Juricke, Stephan [1 ]
Jung, Thomas [1 ]
机构
[1] Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Bremerhaven, Germany
来源
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES | 2014年 / 372卷 / 2018期
关键词
stochastic parametrizations; sea ice models; sea ice strength; model uncertainty; atmospheric feedbacks; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM; MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION; CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION; DEEP CONVECTION; MODEL; VARIABILITY; THICKNESS; IMPACT; PREDICTABILITY; UNCERTAINTIES;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2013.0283
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The influence of a stochastic sea ice strength parametrization on the mean climate is investigated in a coupled atmosphere-sea ice-ocean model. The results are compared with an uncoupled simulation with a prescribed atmosphere. It is found that the stochastic sea ice parametrization causes an effective weakening of the sea ice. In the uncoupled model this leads to an Arctic sea ice volume increase of about 10-20% after an accumulation period of approximately 20-30 years. In the coupled model, no such increase is found. Rather, the stochastic perturbations lead to a spatial redistribution of the Arctic sea ice thickness field. A mechanism involving a slightly negative atmospheric feedback is proposed that can explain the different responses in the coupled and uncoupled system. Changes in integrated Antarctic sea ice quantities caused by the stochastic parametrization are generally small, as memory is lost during the melting season because of an almost complete loss of sea ice. However, stochastic sea ice perturbations affect regional sea ice characteristics in the Southern Hemisphere, both in the uncoupled and coupled model. Remote impacts of the stochastic sea ice parametrization on the mean climate of non-polar regions were found to be small.
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页数:17
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