Mapping incidence and mortality of leukemia and its subtypes in 21 world regions in last three decades and projections to 2030

This study examines the burden of leukemia and its subtypes at the global, regional, and national levels in 21 world regions and 204 countries in the last three decades. The estimates of incidence, deaths, and age-standardized rates of leukemia for 21 regions and 204 countries for 1990-2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Average annual percentage change in 1990-2019 for 21 regions was utilized for projecting leukemia burden in 2030. Globally, there were 643,579 [586,980-699,729] incident cases and 334,592 [306,818-360,214] deaths in 2019 due to leukemia, up from 474,924 [388,559-560,550] cases and 263,263 [233,664-298,696] deaths in 1990. Between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) decreased from 9.6 [8.1-11.0] in 1990 to 8.2 [7.5-8.9] per 100,000 person-years in 2019, and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 5.8/100,000 [5.2-6.4] in 1990 to 4.3/100,000 [3.9-4.6] in 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, the ASIR decreased in majority of regions except Western Europe and high-income Asia Pacific, whereas the ASMR decreased in all 21 regions. In 2019, country-wise, the ASIR varied from 3.0/100,000 [2.3-3.7] in Palau to 35.1/100,000 [26.4-47.2] in San Marino and the ASMR spanned from 2.3/100,000 [1.7-2.8] in San Marino to 15.8/100,000 [12.0-20.4] in Syria. As per our projections, globally, there will be 720,168 incident cases and 367,804 deaths due to leukemia in 2030. Substantial improvements have been witnessed in leukemia mortality rates in all regions, especially high-income regions and countries. Health care policies focusing on diagnostic improvements, cancer registration, and newer therapeutics at reduced cost or with insurance coverage are needed in low and middle-income countries.