Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC's Fifth Assessment

被引：139

作者：

Revi, Aromar ^{[1
]}

Satterthwaite, David ^{[2
]}

Aragon-Durand, Fernando

Corfee-Morlot, Jan ^{[3
]}

Kiunsi, Robert B. R. ^{[4
]}

Pelling, Mark ^{[5
]}

Roberts, Debra ^{[6
]}

Solecki, William ^{[7
]}

Gajjar, Sumetee Pahwa ^{[1
]}

Sverdlik, Alice ^{[8
]}

机构：

[1] IIHS, Bangalore, Karnataka, India

[2] IIED, London WC1X 8NH, England

[3] OECD Dev Cooperat Directorate, Paris, France

[4] Ardhi Univ, Disaster Management Training Ctr, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania

[5] Kings Coll London, Dept Geog, London WC2R 2LS, England

[6] eThekwini Municipal, Environm Planning & Climate Protect Dept, Durban, South Africa

[7] CUNY, Inst Sustainable Cities, New York, NY 10021 USA

[8] Univ Calif Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

来源：

ENVIRONMENT AND URBANIZATION | 2014年 / 26卷 / 01期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

cities; resilience; adaptation; mitigation; climate change; transformation; ORANGI;

D O I：

10.1177/0956247814523539

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world's urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030-2040) and the long term (2080-2100) with a 2 degrees C and a 4 degrees C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter's Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.

引用

页码：11 / 28

页数：18

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