Performance of the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier in Hurthle Cell Thyroid Nodules Differs from Other Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules

Background: The recently introduced Afirma gene expression classifier (AGEC) provides binary results (benign or suspicious) to guide management of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. The AGEC is intended to reduce unnecessary surgeries for benign nodules, and management algorithms favor surgery for suspicious results. Limited data are available on the performance of this test for Hurthle cell nodules (HCNs). This study hypothesized that a predominance of Hurthle cells leads to an increased rate of suspicious AGEC results with a potential for overtreatment, despite a relatively low risk of malignancy. Methods: The pathology databases from three tertiary care facilities were queried from 2010 to 2014 for fine-needle aspirates (FNAs) diagnosed as suspicious for Hurthle cell neoplasm (SHCN) or atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance concerning for Hurthle cell neoplasm (AFHCN). Cytology diagnoses were rendered internally prior to AGEC testing. The patient demographics, FNA diagnosis, AGEC result, surgical procedure, and pathologic outcomes were recorded. Results: The cohort consisted of 134 patients with HCNs. Prior to AGEC availability, 62 patients underwent surgery: 81% (50/62) of patients had surgery, and 34% (17/50) of the resected index nodules were malignant. After introduction of the AGEC, 72 patients underwent AGEC testing: 65% (47/72) of patients had surgery, and 13% (6/46) of the resected nodules were malignant. Thirty-two percent (23/72) of patients had a benign AGEC result and did not undergo surgery, and 4% (3/72) had surgery despite a benign AGEC result with benign final pathology, whereas 63% (45/72) of patients had suspicious AGEC results, with 96% of these patients (43/45) undergoing surgery, and 14% (6/43) of these index nodules were malignant. Conclusions: While 32% of tested patients declined surgery based on a benign AGEC, 86% of patients with suspicious AGEC findings had unnecessary surgery, reflecting a substantially lower rate of malignancy from what was previously reported for all indeterminate nodules. Given the approximate pretest malignancy risk of 25-35% for an FNA diagnosis of SHCN or AFHCN, a suspicious AGEC diagnosis does not increase the probability of malignancy in an HCN, and patients should be counseled accordingly.