Dynamic assessment of urban economy-environment-energy system using system dynamics model: A case study in Beijing

被引：90

作者：

Wu, Desheng ^{[1
,2
]}

Ning, Shuang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China

[2] Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Business Scool, Stockholm, Sweden

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH | 2018年 / 164卷

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Economy-environment-energy; System dynamics; Geographic Information System; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION-SYSTEM; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CO2; EMISSIONS; GIS; MITIGATION; MANAGEMENT; CHINA;

D O I：

10.1016/j.envres.2018.01.029

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Economic development, accompanying with environmental damage and energy depletion, becomes essential nowadays. There is a complicated and comprehensive interaction between economics, environment and energy. Understanding the operating mechanism of Energy-Environment-Economy model (3E) and its key factors is the inherent part in dealing with the issue. In this paper, we combine System Dynamics model and Geographic Information System to analyze the energy-environment-economy (3E) system both temporally and spatially, which explicitly explore the interaction of economics, energy, and environment and effects of the key influencing factors. Beijing is selected as a case study to verify our SD-GIS model. Alternative scenarios, e.g., current, technology, energy and environment scenarios are explored and compared. Simulation results shows that, current scenario is not sustainable; technology scenario is applicable to economic growth; environment scenario maintains a balanced path of development for long term stability. Policy-making insights are given based on our results and analysis.

引用

页码：70 / 84

页数：15

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