General representation of epistemically optimal procedures

被引:8
作者
Dietrich, Franz
机构
[1] Univ Maastricht, Dept Quantitat Econ, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands
[2] Univ Konstanz, Ctr Jr Res Fellows, D-78457 Constance, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s00355-006-0094-2
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Assuming that votes are independent, the epistemically optimal procedure in a binary collective choice problem is known to be a weighted supermajority rule with weights given by personal log likelihood ratios. It is shown here that an analogous result holds in a much more general model. Firstly, the result follows from a more basic principle than expected-utility maximisation, namely from an axiom ("Epistemic Monotonicity") which requires neither utilities nor prior probabilities of the 'correctness' of alternatives. Secondly, a person's input need not be a vote for an alternative; it may be any type of input, for instance a subjective degree of belief or probability of the correctness of one of the alternatives. The case of a profile of subjective degrees of belief is particularly appealing, since no parameters such as competence parameters need to be known here.
引用
收藏
页码:263 / 283
页数:21
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