The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past. present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes

被引：69

作者：

Blenkinsop, Stephen ^{[1
]}

Fowler, Hayley J. ^{[1
]}

Barbero, Renaud ^{[2
]}

Chan, Steven C. ^{[1
]}

Guerreiro, Selma B. ^{[1
]}

Kendon, Elizabeth ^{[3
]}

Lenderink, Geert ^{[4
]}

Lewis, Elizabeth ^{[1
]}

Li, Xiao-Feng ^{[1
]}

Westra, Seth ^{[5
]}

Alexander, Lisa ^{[6
]}

Allan, Richard P. ^{[7
]}

Berg, Peter ^{[8
]}

Dunn, Robert J. H. ^{[3
]}

Ekstrom, Marie ^{[9
]}

Evans, Jason P. ^{[6
]}

Holland, Greg ^{[10
]}

Jones, Richard ^{[3
]}

Kjellstrom, Erik ^{[8
]}

Klein-Tank, Albert ^{[4
]}

Lettenmaier, Dennis ^{[11
]}

Mishra, Vimal ^{[12
]}

Prein, Andreas F. ^{[10
]}

Sheffield, Justin ^{[13
]}

Tye, Mari R. ^{[10
]}

机构：

[1] Newcastle Univ, Sch Engn, Newcastle Upon Tyne, Tyne & Wear, England

[2] Natl Res Inst Sci & Technol Environm & Agr, Aix En Provence, France

[3] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England

[4] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, De Bilt, Netherlands

[5] Univ Adelaide, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn, Adelaide, SA, Australia

[6] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia

[7] Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England

[8] Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, Norrkoping, Sweden

[9] Cardiff Univ, Sch Earth & Ocean Sci, Cardiff, S Glam, Wales

[10] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

[11] UCLA, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA

[12] Indian Inst Technol Gandhinagar, Gandhinagar, India

[13] Univ Southampton, Geog & Environm, Southampton, Hants, England

来源：

ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH | 2018年 / 15卷

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; HOURLY PRECIPITATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; TEMPERATURE; CHALLENGES; IMPACTS; EVENTS;

D O I：

10.5194/asr-15-117-2018

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Historical in situ sub-daily rainfall observations are essential for the understanding of short-duration rainfall extremes but records are typically not readily accessible and data are often subject to errors and inhomogeneities. Furthermore, these events are poorly quantified in projections of future climate change making adaptation to the risk of flash flooding problematic. Consequently, knowledge of the processes contributing to intense, short-duration rainfall is less complete compared with those on daily timescales. The INTENSE project is addressing this global challenge by undertaking a data collection initiative that is coupled with advances in high-resolution climate modelling to better understand key processes and likely future change. The project has so far acquired data from over 23 000 rain gauges for its global sub-daily rainfall dataset (GSDR) and has provided evidence of an intensification of hourly extremes over the US. Studies of these observations, combined with model simulations, will continue to advance our understanding of the role of local-scale thermodynamics and large-scale atmospheric circulation in the generation of these events and how these might change in the future.

引用

页码：117 / 126

页数：10

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