Past climates inform our future

被引：419

作者：

Tierney, Jessica E. ^{[1
]}

Poulsen, Christopher J. ^{[2
]}

Montanez, Isabel P. ^{[3
]}

Bhattacharya, Tripti ^{[4
]}

Feng, Ran ^{[5
]}

Ford, Heather L. ^{[6
]}

Honisch, Barbel ^{[7
]}

Inglis, Gordon N. ^{[8
,9
]}

Petersen, Sierra V. ^{[2
]}

Sagoo, Navjit ^{[10
]}

Tabor, Clay R. ^{[5
]}

Thirumalai, Kaustubh ^{[1
]}

Zhu, Jiang ^{[2
]}

Burls, Natalie J. ^{[11
]}

Foster, Gavin L. ^{[8
,9
]}

Godderis, Yves ^{[12
]}

Huber, Brian T. ^{[13
]}

Ivany, Linda C. ^{[4
]}

Turner, Sandra Kirtland ^{[14
]}

Lunt, Daniel J. ^{[15
]}

McElwain, Jennifer C. ^{[16
]}

Mills, Benjamin J. W. ^{[17
]}

Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. ^{[18
]}

Ridgwell, Andy ^{[14
]}

Zhang, Yi Ge ^{[19
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Arizona, Dept Geosci, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA

[2] Univ Michigan, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

[3] Univ Calif Davis, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Davis, CA 95616 USA

[4] Syracuse Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Syracuse, NY USA

[5] Univ Connecticut, Dept Geosci, Storrs, CT USA

[6] Queen Mary Univ London, Sch Geog, London, England

[7] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA

[8] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Palisades, NY USA

[9] Univ Southampton, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci, Natl Oceanog Ctr Southampton, Southampton, Hants, England

[10] Univ Stockholm, Dept Meteorol, Stockholm, Sweden

[11] George Mason Univ, Dept Atmospher Ocean & Earth Sci, Fairfax, VA 22030 USA

[12] CNRS, Geosci Environm Toulouse, Toulouse, France

[13] Smithsonian Natl Museum Nat Hist, Dept Paleobiol, Washington, DC USA

[14] Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Earth Sci, Riverside, CA 92521 USA

[15] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England

[16] Trinity Coll Dublin, Dept Bot, Dublin, Ireland

[17] Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England

[18] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA

[19] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Oceanog, College Stn, TX 77843 USA

来源：

SCIENCE | 2020年 / 370卷 / 6517期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

ANTARCTIC ICE-SHEET; SEA-LEVEL; CARBON; MODEL; TEMPERATURE; CIRCULATION; OCEAN; WARM; SENSITIVITY; RECORD;

D O I：

10.1126/science.aay3701

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

As the world warms, there is a profound need to improve projections of climate change. Although the latest Earth system models offer an unprecedented number of features, fundamental uncertainties continue to cloud our view of the future. Past climates provide the only opportunity to observe how the Earth system responds to high carbon dioxide, underlining a fundamental role for paleoclimatology in constraining future climate change. Here, we review the relevancy of paleoclimate information for climate prediction and discuss the prospects for emerging methodologies to further insights gained from past climates. Advances in proxy methods and interpretations pave the way for the use of past climates for model evaluation-a practice that we argue should be widely adopted.

引用

页码：680 / +

页数：10

共 111 条

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