EFFICIENT RANDOMIZED-ADAPTIVE DESIGNS

被引:70
作者
Hu, Feifang [1 ]
Zhang, Li-Xin [2 ]
He, Xuming [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Virginia, Dept Stat, Charlottesville, VA 22904 USA
[2] Zhejiang Univ, Dept Math, Hangzhou 310027, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Illinois, Dept Stat, Champaign, IL 61820 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Response-adaptive designs; biased coin design; clinical trial; urn model; doubly adaptive biased coin design; power; BIASED COIN DESIGNS; SEQUENTIAL CLINICAL-TRIALS; PLAY-WINNER RULE; ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES; PROGNOSTIC FACTORS; URN MODELS; VARIABILITY; ALLOCATION;
D O I
10.1214/08-AOS655
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Response-adaptive randomization hits recently attracted a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we propose a new and simple family of response-adaptive randomization procedures that attain the cramer-Rao lower bounds on the allocation variances for any allocation proportions including optimal allocation proportions. The allocation Probability functions of proposed procedures are discontinuous. The existing large sample theory for adaptive designs relies on Taylor expansions of the allocation probability functions. which do not apply to nondifferentiable cases. In the present paper, we Study stopping times of stochastic processes to establish the asymptotic efficiency results. Furthermore, we demonstrate our proposal through examples, simulations and a discussion on the relationship with earlier works, including Efron's biased coin design.
引用
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页码:2543 / 2560
页数:18
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