Understanding time-series regression estimators

被引:15
作者
Choudhury, AH [1 ]
Hubata, R
Louis, RDS
机构
[1] Univ Alaska Anchorage, Sch Business, Anchorage, AK 99508 USA
[2] Amer Express Co, Phoenix, AZ 85053 USA
[3] Arizona State Univ, Coll Business, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
关键词
approximate and exact estimators; autoregressive and moving average error models; Cholesky decomposition; computational convenience; generalized least squares and maximum likelihood estimators; linear and nonlinear optimization methods; transformations to obtain uncorrelated errors;
D O I
10.2307/2686054
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A large number of methods have been developed for estimating time-series regression parameters. Students and practitioners have a difficult time understanding what these various methods are, let alone picking the most appropriate one for their application. This article explains how these methods are related. A chronology for the development of the various methods is presented, followed by a logical characterization of the methods. An examination of current computational techniques and computing power leads to the conclusion that exact maximum likelihood estimators should be used in almost all cases where regression models have autoregressive, moving average, or mixed autoregressive-moving average error structures.
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页码:342 / 348
页数:7
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