Hazard Characterization of the Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation in the Southwestern Iberian Peninsula (1851-2021)

被引:3
作者
Morales, Julia [1 ]
Garcia-Barron, Leoncio [2 ]
Aguilar-Alba, Monica [3 ]
Sousa, Arturo [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Seville, Dept Plant Biol & Ecol, Seville 41012, Spain
[2] Univ Seville, Dept Appl Phys 2, Seville 41012, Spain
[3] Univ Seville, Dept Phys Geog & AGR, Seville 41004, Spain
关键词
annual maximum daily precipitation; extreme event; return period; NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; DAILY RAINFALL SERIES; EXTREME PRECIPITATION; CLIMATE-CHANGE; SAN-FERNANDO; SPAIN; VARIABILITY; TRENDS; DISTRIBUTIONS; STATISTICS;
D O I
10.3390/w14091504
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
High-intensity rainfall can raise fluvial channel levels, increasing the risk of flooding. Maximum precipitation depths are used to estimate return periods and, thus, calculate the risk of this type of event. To improve these estimates in Southwest Europe, we studied the behavior of extreme rainfall using the historical records of San Fernando (Cadiz, southwest Spain), obtaining the maximum daily annual rainfall (period 1851-2021). Local risk levels for intense precipitation were established based on the mean values and standard deviation of daily precipitation. In this series, 38% of the years had some type of risk (>53.7 mm), of which 13% of these years had high risk (>73.2 mm) or disaster risk (>92.7 mm). In these risk thresholds, the maximum daily precipitation is mostly concentrated in the autumn months. The SQRT-ETMax model used fits well with the instrumental historical records for return periods of up to 25 years, although it may present appreciable deviations for longer return periods. Using a 170-year secular series, a more precise understanding of extreme periods and precipitation variability was obtained.
引用
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页数:17
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