Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe

被引：978

作者：

O'Reilly, Catherine M. ^{[1
]}

Sharma, Sapna ^{[2
]}

Gray, Derek K. ^{[3
]}

Hampton, Stephanie E. ^{[4
]}

Read, Jordan S. ^{[5
]}

Rowley, Rex J. ^{[1
]}

Schneider, Philipp ^{[6
]}

Lenters, John D. ^{[7
]}

McIntyre, Peter B. ^{[8
]}

Kraemer, Benjamin M. ^{[8
]}

Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A. ^{[9
]}

Straile, Dietmar ^{[10
]}

Dong, Bo ^{[11
]}

Adrian, Rita ^{[12
]}

Allan, Mathew G. ^{[13
]}

Anneville, Orlane ^{[14
]}

Arvola, Lauri ^{[15
]}

Austin, Jay ^{[16
]}

Bailey, John L. ^{[17
]}

Baron, Jill S. ^{[18
]}

Brookes, Justin D. ^{[19
]}

de Eyto, Elvira ^{[20
]}

Dokulil, Martin T. ^{[21
]}

Hamilton, David P. ^{[22
]}

Havens, Karl ^{[23
]}

Hetherington, Amy L. ^{[24
]}

Higgins, Scott N. ^{[25
]}

Hook, Simon ^{[26
]}

Izmest'eva, Lyubov R. ^{[27
]}

Joehnk, Klaus D. ^{[28
]}

Kangur, Kulli ^{[29
]}

Kasprzak, Peter ^{[30
]}

Kumagai, Michio ^{[31
]}

Kuusisto, Esko ^{[32
]}

Leshkevich, George ^{[33
]}

Livingstone, David M. ^{[34
]}

MacIntyre, Sally ^{[35
]}

May, Linda ^{[36
]}

Melack, John M. ^{[37
]}

Mueller-Navarra, Doerthe C. ^{[38
]}

Naumenko, Mikhail ^{[39
]}

Noges, Peeter ^{[40
]}

Noges, Tiina ^{[40
]}

North, Ryan P. ^{[41
]}

Plisnier, Pierre-Denis ^{[42
]}

Rigosi, Anna ^{[19
]}

Rimmer, Alon ^{[43
]}

Rogora, Michela ^{[44
]}

Rudstam, Lars G. ^{[24
]}

Rusak, James A. ^{[45
]}

机构：

[1] Illinois State Univ, Dept Geog Geol, Normal, IL 61761 USA

[2] York Univ, Dept Biol, Toronto, ON M3J 2R7, Canada

[3] Calif Univ Pennsylvania, Dept Biol & Environm Sci, California, PA USA

[4] Washington State Univ, Ctr Environm Res Educ & Outreach, Pullman, WA 99164 USA

[5] US Geol Survey, Ctr Integrated Data Analyt, Middleton, WI USA

[6] Norwegian Inst Air Res, Kjeller, Norway

[7] LimnoTech, Ann Arbor, MI USA

[8] Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA

[9] Uppsala Univ, Dept Ecol & Genet Limnol, Uppsala, Sweden

[10] Univ Konstanz, Limnol Inst, Constance, Germany

[11] SUNY Albany, Dept Atmospher & Environm Sci, Albany, NY 12222 USA

[12] Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Dept Ecosyst Res, Berlin, Germany

[13] Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand

[14] Natl Inst Agr Res, UMR Ctr Alpin Rech Reseaux Troph Ecosyst Limn, Thonon Les Bains, France

[15] Univ Helsinki, Lammi Biol Stn, Lammi, Finland

[16] Univ Minnesota, Large Lakes Observ, Duluth, MN 55812 USA

[17] Laurentian Univ Sudbury, Cooperat Freshwater Ecol Unit, Minist Environm & Climate Change, Sudbury, ON, Canada

[18] Colorado State Univ, Ft Collins Sci Ctr, US Geol Survey, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA

[19] Univ Adelaide, Inst Environm, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Water Res Ctr, Adelaide, SA, Australia

[20] Fisheries Ecosyst Advisory Serv, Inst Marine, Furnace, Newport, Ireland

[21] Univ Innsbruck, Res Inst Limnol, Mondsee, Austria

[22] Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand

[23] Univ Florida, 2Florida Sea Grant & UF IFAS, Gainesville, FL USA

[24] Cornell Univ, Dept Nat Resources, Fernow Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA

[25] Int Inst Sustainable Dev Expt Lakes Area, Winnipeg, MB, Canada

[26] CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, NASA, Pasadena, CA USA

[27] Irkutsk State Univ, Inst Biol, Irkutsk 664003, Russia

[28] CSIRO, Land & Water Flagship, Canberra, ACT, Australia

[29] Estonian Univ Life Sci, Inst Agr & Environm Sci, Tartu, Estonia

[30] Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Dept Expt Limnol, Berlin, Germany

[31] Ritsumeikan Univ, Kusatsu, Japan

[32] Finnish Environm Inst, Helsinki, Finland

[33] NOAA, Great Lakes Environm Res Lab, 2205 Commonwealth Blvd, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USA

[34] Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Dept Water Resources & Drinking Water, Dubendorf, Switzerland

[35] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Ecol Evolut & Marine Biol, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[36] Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Bush Estate, Midlothian, Scotland

[37] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch Environm Sci & Management, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[38] Univ Hamburg, Dept Biol, Hamburg, Germany

[39] Russian Acad Sci, Limnol Inst, Hydrol Lab, St Petersburg 196140, Russia

[40] Estonian Univ Life Sci, Inst Agr & Environm Sci, Ctr Limnol, Tartu, Estonia

[41] Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany

[42] Royal Museum Cent Africa, Dept Earth Sci, Tervuren, Belgium

[43] Kinneret Limnol Lab, Israel Oceanog & Limnol Res, Migdal, Israel

[44] CNR, Inst Ecosyst Study, Verbania, Italy

[45] Ontario Minist Environm & Climate Change, Dorset Environm Sci Ctr, Dorset, ON, Canada

[46] Ist Agr S Michele Adige Fdn E Mach, IASMA Res & Innovat Ctr, Trento, Trento, Italy

[47] Univ New Hampshire, Dept Nat Resources, Durham, NH 03824 USA

[48] Univ New Hampshire, Earth Syst Res Ctr, Durham, NH 03824 USA

[49] Univ Washington, Sch Aquat & Fishery Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

[50] Univ Calif Davis, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Tahoe Environm Res Ctr, Davis, CA 95616 USA

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2015年 / 42卷 / 24期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 俄罗斯科学基金会; 美国食品与农业研究所;

关键词：

lakes; climate change; temperature; CLIMATE-CHANGE; REGRESSION TREES; AIR-TEMPERATURE; TRENDS; STATISTICS; MULTIPLE;

D O I：

10.1002/2015GL066235

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

In this first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite-derived lake data, we find that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean=0.34 degrees C decade(-1)) between 1985 and 2009. Our analyses show that surface water warming rates are dependent on combinations of climate and local characteristics, rather than just lake location, leading to the counterintuitive result that regional consistency in lake warming is the exception, rather than the rule. The most rapidly warming lakes are widely geographically distributed, and their warming is associated with interactions among different climatic factorsfrom seasonally ice-covered lakes in areas where temperature and solar radiation are increasing while cloud cover is diminishing (0.72 degrees C decade(-1)) to ice-free lakes experiencing increases in air temperature and solar radiation (0.53 degrees C decade(-1)). The pervasive and rapid warming observed here signals the urgent need to incorporate climate impacts into vulnerability assessments and adaptation efforts for lakes.

引用

页码：10773 / 10781

页数：9

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