Three issues concerning the statistics of mean and extreme wind speeds

被引:18
作者
Chiodi, Remo [1 ]
Ricciardelli, Francesco [2 ]
机构
[1] Rome Ciampino Airport, Italian Air Force, Reparto Genio AM 2, I-00043 Rome, Italy
[2] Univ Reggio Calabria, Dept Informat Infrastruct & Sustainable Energy, I-89123 Calabria, Italy
关键词
Wind speed statistics; Weibull distribution; Gumbel distribution; Generalized Extreme Value distribution; Wind calms; Anemometers; Sampling; PREDICTION; TIME;
D O I
10.1016/j.jweia.2013.12.009
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
In the calibration of statistical models for mean and extreme wind speeds, data coming from historical series measured at meteorological stations are used. In most of the cases, these do not comply with characteristics of the model to be calibrated. In particular, this is due to a finite onset wind speed of anemometers and to the discontinuous sampling. As a result, the mean wind speeds are often underestimated. In addition, when the extreme wind speeds are described through the Gumbel model, these are overestimated due to the non-perfect fitting of the data. In this paper the three issues related to the existence of a measurement threshold of anemometers, of the discontinuous sampling of mean wind speed, and of the appropriateness of the Gumbel distribution for the description of extreme wind speeds are discussed, based on the analysis of the historical records available to the Meteorological Service of the Italian Air Force, using an empirical approach. An estimate of the inaccuracies associated with each of the approximations above, is given. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:156 / 167
页数:12
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