Phase and multifractality analyses of random price time series by finite-range interacting biased voter system

被引:9
作者
Niu, Hongli [1 ]
Wang, Jun [1 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Inst Financial Math & Financial Engn, Sch Sci, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Statistical analysis; Interacting biased voter model; Financial price process; Phase analysis; Multifractality; Empirical mode decomposition; DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS; EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION; PERCOLATION SYSTEM; BEHAVIOR; MEMORY;
D O I
10.1007/s00180-014-0479-0
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A random financial price process which is developed by mechanisms of finite-range interacting biased voter model is considered in the present paper. Voter model is one of statistical physics systems as well as a continuous time Markov process, which originally represents a voter's attitude on a particular topic, namely, voters reconsider their opinions at times distributed according to independent exponential random variables. The empirical mode decomposition method is employed to analyze the behaviors of logarithmic returns for the simulation data of the model and the two real market indexes, Shanghai Composite Index and Deutscher Aktien Index. The multifractal characteristics of the original returns and first 3 intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) after empirical mode decomposition are explored by the multifractal detrended function analysis. The instantaneous phase, amplitude probability distribution of first 4 IMFs, and the multifractal properties of instantaneous amplitude are investigated.
引用
收藏
页码:1045 / 1063
页数:19
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