Arctic shipping accident scenario analysis using Bayesian Network approach

被引：152

作者：

Afenyo, Mawuli ^{[1
]}

Khan, Faisal ^{[1
]}

Veitch, Brian ^{[1
]}

Yang, Ming ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Mem Univ Newfoundland, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, Ctr Risk Integr & Safety Engn, St John, NF A1B 3X5, Canada

来源：

OCEAN ENGINEERING | 2017年 / 133卷

关键词：

Accident modeling; Bayesian Networks; Arctic shipping; Ship collision; Risk assessment; MODEL; METHODOLOGY; OIL;

D O I：

10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.02.002

中图分类号：

U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];

学科分类号：

0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;

摘要：

This paper presents a methodology for the analysis of Arctic shipping accident scenarios using Bayesian Networks (BN). The proposed methodology is applied to a scenario involving a collision between a vessel and an iceberg. The study aims to identify the most significant causative factors to the potential accident scenarios. It is achieved by undertaking a sensitivity analysis study. The results inform the development of measures to avoid and control accidents during Arctic shipping.

引用

页码：224 / 230

页数：7

共 37 条

[1]

Adams E., 1976, PROF SAF, P26

[2]

Amrozowicz MD, 1997, INT OFFSHORE POLAR E, P313

[3]

[Anonymous], 2014, ARCTIC MARINE ACTIVI

[4]

[Anonymous], 2010, 042010 RES INN

[5]

[Anonymous], 2012, MODELS CAUSATION SAF

[6]

[Anonymous], 2007, Encyclopedia of Statistics in Quality Reliability

[7]

Apostolos P., 2009, ETHODS TOOLS APPL

[8] Validation of an offshore occupational accident frequency prediction model - A practical demonstration using case studies [J].

Attwood, Daryl ;

Khan, Faisal ;

Veitch, Brian .

PROCESS SAFETY PROGRESS, 2006, 25 (02) :160-171

[9]

Bird F.E., 1974, Management guide to loss control

[10]

Davidson W. F., 2006, P NATO CCMS WORKSH O

← 1 2 3 4 →