Modeling control of foot and mouth disease with two time delays

被引:3
作者
Tessema, Kassahun M. [1 ]
Chirove, Faraimunashe [1 ]
Sibanda, Precious [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ KwaZulu Natal, Sch Math Stat & Comp Sci, Private Bag X01 Scottsville 3209, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa
关键词
Foot and mouth; vaccination; prophylactic vaccination; treatment; culling; time delay; PREEXPOSURE PROPHYLAXIS; VACCINATION; DYNAMICS; STRATEGIES; EQUATIONS; OUTBREAK; IMPACTS;
D O I
10.1142/S179352451930001X
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We develop a delay ordinary differential equation model that captures the effects of prophylactic vaccination, reactive vaccination, prophylactic treatment and reactive culling on the spread of foot and mouth disease (FMD) with time delays. Simulation results from the study suggest that increasing time delay while increasing the control strategies decreases the burden of FMD. Further, the results reveal, that decreasing time delay while decreasing the control strategies increases the burden of FMD. The intermediate scenarios of either (i) increasing time delay while decreasing control or (ii) decreasing time delay while increasing control have intermediate effects on burden reduction. Thus, the implementation of effective control strategies combination can play an important role in mitigating against the FMD burden.
引用
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页数:37
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