On the method of pivoting the CDF for exact confidence intervals with illustration for exponential mean under life-test with time constraints

Two requirements for pivoting a cumulative distribution function (CDF) in order to construct exact confidence intervals or bounds for a real-valued parameter theta are the monotonicity of this CDF with respect to theta and the existence of solutions of some pertinent equations for theta. The second requirement is not fulfilled by the CDF of the maximum likelihood estimator of the exponential scale parameter when the data come from some life-testing scenarios such as type-I censoring, hybrid type-I censoring, and progressive type-I censoring that are subject to time constraints. However, the method has been used in these cases probably because the nonexistence of the solution usually happens only with small probability. Here, we illustrate the problem by giving formal details in the case of type-I censoring and by providing some further examples. We also present a suitable extension of the basic pivoting method which is applicable in situations wherein the considered equations have no solution. (c) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.