A Technique for Integral Evaluation and Forecast of the Performance of a Complex Economic System

被引：0
|
作者：
Stepashko, Volodymyr [1 ]
Voloschuk, Roman [1 ]
Yefimenko, Serhiy [1 ]
机构：
[1] NAS Ukraine, Dept Informat Technol OflnductiveModeling Int Res, Ctr Informat Technol & Syst, Kiev, Ukraine
来源：
2020 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ADVANCED COMPUTER INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES (ACIT) | 2020年
关键词：
system performance; integral index; normalized indicator; indicator weight; investment activity;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
The main stages and components of a technology to solve problems of integrated (composite) evaluating and forecasting the performance of a complex economical system are described to support making efficient managerial decisions based on an aggregate and therefore observable information. We introduce the three novelties in the task of construction the synthetic integral index: some kind of fuzzy interpretation of values of a primary economic indicator; based on it a nonlinear method for normalizing indicators; approach to forecasting the index. An example of using the technology to analysis and forecast of the investment activity in Ukraine is presented.
引用
收藏
页码：704 / 707
页数：4
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