The relation between corporate financing activities, analysts' forecasts and stock returns

被引:268
作者
Bradshaw, Mark T.
Richardson, Scott A.
Sloan, Richard G. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Michigan, Ross Sch Business, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[2] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[3] Harvard Univ, Sch Business, Boston, MA 02163 USA
关键词
external financing; sell-side analysts; capital markets; market efficiency;
D O I
10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.03.004
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We develop a comprehensive and parsimonious measure of corporate financing activities and document a negative relation between this measure and both future stock returns and future profitability. The economic and statistical significance of our results is stronger than in previous research focusing on individual categories of corporate financing activities. To discriminate between risk versus misvaluation as explanations for this relation, we analyze the association between our measure of external financing and sell-side analysts' forecasts. Consistent with the misvaluation explanation, our measure of external financing is positively related to overoptimism in analysts' forecasts. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 85
页数:33
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]   Biased forecasts or biased earnings? - The role of reported earnings in explaining apparent bias and over/underreaction in analysts' earnings forecasts [J].
Abarbanell, J ;
Lehavy, R .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS, 2003, 36 (1-3) :105-146
[2]   Is the US stock market myopic? [J].
Abarbanell, J ;
Bernard, V .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 2000, 38 (02) :221-242
[3]  
AGRAWAL A, 2000, UNPUB ANAL CONFLICTS
[4]   ACCURACY OF ANALYSTS FORECASTS OF EARNINGS PER SHARE [J].
BAREFIELD, RM ;
COMISKEY, EE .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS RESEARCH, 1975, 3 (03) :241-252
[5]  
Billett M. T., 2001, LONG RUN PERFORMANCE
[6]   PRICING OF OPTIONS AND CORPORATE LIABILITIES [J].
BLACK, F ;
SCHOLES, M .
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 1973, 81 (03) :637-654
[7]  
BRADSHAW MT, 2005, DO SELL SIDE ANAL EX
[8]  
COWEN A, 2003, WHICH TYPES ANAL FIR
[9]  
DECHOW PA, 2000, CONTEMP ACCOUNT RES, P1
[10]   Returns to contrarian investment strategies: Tests of naive expectations hypotheses [J].
Dechow, PM ;
Sloan, RG .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1997, 43 (01) :3-27