Representation theorems for partially exchangeable random variables

被引:9
作者
De Bock, Jasper [1 ]
Van Camp, Arthur [1 ]
Diniz, Marcio A. [2 ]
de Cooman, Gert [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Ghent, SYSTeMS Res Grp, B-9052 Zwijnaarde, Belgium
[2] Fed Univ S Carlos, Dept Stat, Sao Carlos, Brazil
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会;
关键词
Partial exchangeability; Sets of desirable gambles; Lower previsions; de Finetti's representation theorem; Indifferent gambles; DESIRABLE GAMBLES; IMPRECISE PROBABILITY; FINITE ADDITIVITY; MULTINOMIAL DATA; SETS; SEQUENCES; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.fss.2014.10.027
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
We provide representation theorems for both finite and countable sequences of finite-valued random variables that are considered to be partially exchangeable. In their most general form, our results are presented in terms of sets of desirable gambles, a very general framework for modelling uncertainty. Its key advantages are that it allows for imprecision, is more expressive than almost every other imprecise-probabilistic framework and makes conditioning on events with (lower) probability zero non-problematic. We translate our results to more conventional, although less general frameworks as well: lower previsions, linear previsions and probability measures. The usual, precise-probabilistic representation theorems for partially exchangeable random variables are obtained as special cases. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 30
页数:30
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