Spline-based nonparametric inference in general state-switching models

被引:15
作者
Langrock, Roland [1 ]
Adam, Timo [1 ]
Leos-Barajas, Vianey [1 ,2 ]
Mews, Sina [1 ]
Miller, David L. [3 ]
Papastamatiou, Yannis P. [4 ]
机构
[1] Bielefeld Univ, Dept Business Adm & Econ, D-33615 Bielefeld, Germany
[2] Iowa State Univ, Dept Stat, Ames, IA 50011 USA
[3] Univ St Andrews, Ctr Res Ecol & Environm Modelling, St Andrews KY16 9LZ, Fife, Scotland
[4] Florida Int Univ, Sch Environm Arts & Soc, North Miami, FL 33181 USA
关键词
hidden Markov model; maximum penalized likelihood; Markov-switching regression; penalized splines; HIDDEN MARKOV-MODELS; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD; ADDITIVE-MODELS; TIME-SERIES; PARAMETER-ESTIMATION; LONGITUDINAL DATA; ANIMAL MOVEMENT; MAXIMIZATION; SELECTION; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1111/stan.12133
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
State-switching models combine immense flexibility with relative mathematical simplicity and computational tractability and, as a consequence, have established themselves as general-purpose models for time series data. In this paper, we provide an overview of ways to use penalized splines to allow for flexible nonparametric inference within state-switching models, and provide a critical discussion of the use of corresponding classes of models. The methods are illustrated using animal acceleration data and energy price data.
引用
收藏
页码:179 / 200
页数:22
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