Synthesis and Review: an inter-method comparison of climate change impacts on agriculture

被引：27

作者：

Ciscar, Juan-Carlos ^{[1
]}

Fisher-Vanden, Karen ^{[2
]}

Lobell, David B. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Seville, Spain

[2] Penn State Univ, University Pk, PA 16802 USA

[3] Stanford Univ, Palo Alto, CA 94304 USA

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2018年 / 13卷 / 07期

关键词：

agriculture climate impacts; process models; statistical models; integrated assessment models; carbon fertilization; climate adaptation; inter-method comparison;

D O I：

10.1088/1748-9326/aac7cb

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The agricultural sector is one of the most sensitive to climate change, with potentially significant implications for food security and welfare. Alternative methodological approaches-such as process models, statistical models and integrated assessment models-have been used to estimate climate impacts on agriculture, not always with consistent results. This focus issue intends to shed light on the sign and order of magnitude of agricultural impacts under 2 degrees C and higher warming levels. This letter synthesizes the set of articles in the focus issue that have been tasked with providing a systematic assessment of how results from these different methodological approaches compare and why they are different. From this synthesis, we offer thoughts on research priorities going forward to fill key voids in the literature on this important topic.

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页数：5

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