What is the substitution effect of e-bikes? A randomised controlled trial

被引：42

作者：

Andersson, Alfred Soderberg F. K. A. ^{[1
,2
]}

Adell, Emeli ^{[3
]}

Hiselius, Lena Winslott ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Lund Univ, Dept Technol & Soc, John Ericssons Vag 1,Box 118, Lund, Sweden

[2] K2 Swedish Knowledge Ctr Publ Transport, Bruksgatan 8, S-22236 Lund, Sweden

[3] Trivector Traff, Vavaregatan 21, S-22236 Lund, Sweden

来源：

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT | 2021年 / 90卷

关键词：

E-bike; Substitution effect; Modal shift; Randomised controlled trial; TravelVu; ELECTRIC VEHICLES; TRAVEL BEHAVIOR; CAR; INTERVENTIONS; EXPERIENCES; MOTIVES; WALKING; HEALTH; CHINA;

D O I：

10.1016/j.trd.2020.102648

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy and further research are discussed.

引用

页数：11

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