A Critique of the Contingent Claims Approach to Sovereign Risk Analysis

被引:6
|
作者
Aktug, Rahmi Erdem [1 ]
机构
[1] Richard Stockton Coll New Jersey, Sch Business, Galloway, NJ 08205 USA
关键词
contingent claims; credit default swap; default probability; sovereign risk; MARKET;
D O I
10.2753/REE1540-496X5001S118
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In this paper, I examine the contingent claims approach (CCA) to measuring sovereign risk. Specifically, I extend previous work in this area and apply the CCA framework to three emerging markets-Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey-over the period 2001-10. I find that the CCA underestimates credit default swap spreads and default probabilities. Consequently, I point out the shortcomings of the CCA and suggest some remedies.
引用
收藏
页码:294 / 308
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] A finite volume approach for contingent claims valuation
    Zvan, R
    Forsyth, PA
    Vetzal, KR
    IMA JOURNAL OF NUMERICAL ANALYSIS, 2001, 21 (03) : 703 - 731
  • [22] Pricing catastrophe swaps: A contingent claims approach
    Braun, Alexander
    INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 2011, 49 (03): : 520 - 536
  • [23] A CONTINGENT CLAIMS ANALYSIS OF TRADE CREDIT
    ADAMS, PD
    WYATT, SB
    KIM, YH
    FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 1992, 21 (03) : 95 - 103
  • [24] Financial risk of wind power industry in China based on contingent claims analysis
    Xu, Feng
    Xu, Xinquan
    BioTechnology: An Indian Journal, 2014, 10 (12) : 6102 - 6110
  • [25] A CONTINGENT CLAIMS ANALYSIS OF PARTIAL LOSS OFFSET TAXATION AND RISK-TAKING
    SCHNABEL, JA
    ROUMI, E
    PUBLIC FINANCE-FINANCES PUBLIQUES, 1990, 45 (02): : 304 - 320
  • [26] Background risk and the demand for state-contingent claims
    Guenter Franke
    Richard C. Stapleton
    Marti G. Subrahmanyam
    Economic Theory, 2004, 23 : 321 - 335 (2004)
  • [27] Event risk, contingent claims and the temporal resolution of uncertainty
    Pierre Collin-Dufresne
    Julien Hugonnier
    Mathematics and Financial Economics, 2014, 8 : 29 - 69
  • [28] Event risk, contingent claims and the temporal resolution of uncertainty
    Collin-Dufresne, Pierre
    Hugonnier, Julien
    MATHEMATICS AND FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2014, 8 (01) : 29 - 69
  • [29] An asymptotic expansion approach to pricing financial contingent claims
    Takahashi A.
    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 1999, 6 (2) : 115 - 151
  • [30] Background risk and the demand for state-contingent claims
    Franke, G
    Stapleton, RC
    Subrahmanyam, MG
    ECONOMIC THEORY, 2004, 23 (02) : 321 - 335