Photovoltaic Power Predictor Module Based on Historical Production and Weather Conditions Data

被引:1
作者
Martinez, Elizabeth [2 ]
Cuadrado, Juan [2 ]
Martinez-Santos, Juan C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tenol Bolivar, Cartagena, Colombia
[2] EXIA Energia Inteligente, Cartagena, Colombia
来源
APPLIED COMPUTER SCIENCES IN ENGINEERING, WEA 2022 | 2022年 / 1685卷
关键词
Forecasting; Photo voltaic; Energy production; Condition monitoring; Deep learning; SOLAR; GENERATION; OPTIMIZATION; SUPPORT; LSTM;
D O I
10.1007/978-3-031-20611-5_38
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In recent years the demand for electrical energy has increased significantly. Usually, the electrical grid covers this demand. However, this fuel energy is known for its significant carbon footprint. For that reason, different mechanisms to bring cleaner energies have been explored, like hydraulic, wind, thermal, and one of the most popular solar energy. Although solar energy is abundant and environmentally friendly, the photovoltaic energy that comes from the sun, solar production is subject to different external perturbations, such as environmental conditions. Therefore it has been necessary to develop other methods based on statistics, machine learning, or deep learning to make solar forecasting and predict production and weather conditions. Specifically, this work proposes an evaluation of three different deep learning models to predict irradiance, temperature, and production of a photovoltaic system located in the city of Cartagena, Colombia. Those are irradiance and temperature using the historical data on production and weather conditions. This data has been registered on a web platform for seven months, from January 1, 2022, until June 28, 2022.
引用
收藏
页码:461 / 472
页数:12
相关论文
共 25 条
[1]   Kyoto and the carbon footprint of nations [J].
Aichele, Rahel ;
Felbermayr, Gabriel .
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT, 2012, 63 (03) :336-354
[2]   Deep learning based solar radiation micro forecast by fusion of infrared cloud images and radiation data [J].
Ajith, Meenu ;
Martinez-Ramon, Manel .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2021, 294
[3]   Estimation of global final-stage energy-return-on-investment for fossil fuels with comparison to renewable energy sources [J].
Brockway, Paul E. ;
Owen, Anne ;
Brand-Correa, Lina, I ;
Hardt, Lukas .
NATURE ENERGY, 2019, 4 (07) :612-621
[4]  
Cho KYHY, 2014, Arxiv, DOI [arXiv:1406.1078, DOI 10.48550/ARXIV.1406.1078]
[5]   Forecasting of photovoltaic power generation and model optimization: A review [J].
Das, Utpal Kumar ;
Tey, Kok Soon ;
Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi ;
Mekhilef, Saad ;
Idris, Moh Yamani Idna ;
Van Deventer, Willem ;
Horan, Bend ;
Stojcevski, Alex .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2018, 81 :912-928
[6]   A new approach to river flow forecasting: LSTM and GRU multivariate models [J].
de Melo, G. ;
Sugimoto, D. ;
Tasinaffo, P. ;
Moreira, A. ;
Cunha, A. ;
Dias, L. .
IEEE LATIN AMERICA TRANSACTIONS, 2019, 17 (12) :1978-1986
[7]   The analysis on wind energy electricity generation status, potential and policies in the world [J].
Dincer, Furkan .
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS, 2011, 15 (09) :5135-5142
[8]   Hourly forecasting of solar irradiance based on CEEMDAN and multi-strategy CNN-LSTM neural networks [J].
Gao, Bixuan ;
Huang, Xiaoqiao ;
Shi, Junsheng ;
Tai, Yonghang ;
Zhang, Jun .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2020, 162 :1665-1683
[9]  
Hafezi R., 2021, Affordable and clean energy, P1085, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-95864-418
[10]   Hourly solar radiation forecasting using optimal coefficient 2-D linear filters and feed-forward neural networks [J].
Hocaoglu, Fatih O. ;
Gerek, Oemer N. ;
Kurban, Mehmet .
SOLAR ENERGY, 2008, 82 (08) :714-726