Bayesian inference in partially identified models: Is the shape of the posterior distribution useful?

被引:8
|
作者
Gustafson, Paul [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Dept Stat, Vancouver, BC V5Z 1M9, Canada
来源
ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF STATISTICS | 2014年 / 8卷
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Bayesian inference; partial identification; posterior distribution; PARAMETERS; INFORMATION; PREVALENCE; INTERVALS; ABSENCE; BIAS;
D O I
10.1214/14-EJS891
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Partially identified models are characterized by the distribution of observables being compatible with a set of values for the target parameter, rather than a single value. This set is often referred to as an identification;region. Prom a non-Bayesian point of view, the identification region is the object revealed to the investigator in the limit of increasing sample size. Conversely, a Bayesian analysis provides the identification region plus the limit big posterior distribution over this region. This purports to convey varying plausibility of values across the region. Taking a decision-theoretic view, we investigate the extent to which having a distribution across the identification region is indeed helpful.
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页码:476 / 496
页数:21
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