Climate change impacts on transport on the Rhine and Danube: A multimodal approach

被引：25

作者：

Beuthe, M. ^{[1
]}

Jourquin, B. ^{[1
]}

Urbain, N. ^{[1
]}

Lingemann, I. ^{[2
]}

Ubbels, B. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Catholic Univ Louvain, Louvain Sch Management, Mons, Belgium

[2] Bundesanstalt Gewasserkunde BfG, Koblenz, Germany

[3] Panteia NEA, Zoetermeer, Netherlands

来源：

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT | 2014年 / 27卷

关键词：

Inland navigation; Multimodal network models; Climate change;

D O I：

10.1016/j.trd.2013.11.002

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

This paper measures the potential effects of low water levels on the Rhine and Danube navigation in the context of weather variability and a number of climate change scenarios. A long-term multimodal network transport analysis over the period 2005-2050 is presented; it analyzes the impact of changes on the water depth conditions on transport costs and the modal splits between three competing modes. The results indicate that the impact of climate change until 2050 should be limited. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：6 / 11

页数：6

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