A Province-Wide Analysis of the Epidemiology of Thoracic Aortic Disease: Incidence Is Increasing in a Sex-Specific Way

Background: The contemporary incidence and prevalence of thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection (TAAD) remains understudied. Epidemiological research on TAAD has been limited by incomplete case identification within administrative data sources. The objectives of this study were to develop a case identification method and determine the incidence and prevalence of TAAD, based on data from Manitoba, Canada. Methods: Hospital records and medical claims housed at the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, and data from the Manitoba Thoracic Aortic Diseases Clinic were used to develop a case definition and identify patients with TAAD in Manitoba, Canada. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence of thoracic aortic disease was determined and stratified by sex from 1998 to 2016. Results: We identified 4264 patients with TAAD, of whom 63% were male. The age standardized incidence was 2 times higher in men, peaking at 42 cases per 100,000 in 2013. Although the overall incidence was lower in female patients, the number of incident cases increased 68% compared with 25% in male patients. In hospitalized patients, the incidence and prevalence of aneurysms increased over time, whereas the incidence of dissection and rupture has remained stable. Conclusions: The use of a novel case identification method provided a more complete description of the epidemiology of TAAD. The incidence and prevalence of TAAD is rising, more so in female patients over time. These data support increased resource allocation to thoracic aortic diseases clinics to ensure appropriate monitoring, treatment, and follow-up for the growing number patients with thoracic aortic disease.