Biological responses to the press and pulse of climate trends and extreme events

被引:371
作者
Harris, R. M. B. [1 ,2 ]
Beaumont, L. J. [1 ,3 ]
Vance, T. R. [1 ]
Tozer, C. R. [1 ,4 ]
Remenyi, T. A.
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. [5 ,6 ]
Mitchell, P. J. [7 ]
Nicotra, A. B. [8 ]
McGregor, S. [6 ,9 ]
Andrew, N. R. [10 ]
Letnic, M. [11 ]
Kearney, M. R. [12 ]
Wernberg, T. [13 ,14 ]
Hutley, L. B. [15 ]
Chambers, L. E.
Fletcher, M. -S. [16 ]
Keatley, M. R. [17 ]
Woodward, C. A. [18 ,19 ]
Williamson, G. [20 ]
Duke, N. C. [21 ]
Bowman, D. M. J. S. [20 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tasmania, Antarctic Climate & Ecosyst Cooperat Res Ctr, Hobart, Tas, Australia
[2] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Conservat Biol, Leipzig, Germany
[3] Macquarie Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[4] Univ Newcastle, Ctr Water Climate & Land, Callaghan, NSW, Australia
[5] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[6] Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[7] CSIRO Agr & Food, Hobart, Tas, Australia
[8] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Canberra, ACT, Australia
[9] Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Clayton, Vic, Australia
[10] Univ New England, Ctr Excellence Behav & Physiol Ecol, Armidale, NSW, Australia
[11] Univ New South Wales, Ctr Ecosyst Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[12] Univ Melbourne, Sch Biosci, Parkville, Vic, Australia
[13] Univ Western Australia, UWA Oceans Inst, Crawley, WA, Australia
[14] Univ Western Australia, Sch Biol Sci, Crawley, WA, Australia
[15] Charles Darwin Univ, Res Inst Environm & Livelihoods, Casuarina, NT, Australia
[16] Univ Melbourne, Sch Geog, Parkville, Vic, Australia
[17] Univ Melbourne, Sch Ecosyst & Forest Sci, Creswick, Vic, Australia
[18] Australian Nucl Sci & Technol Org, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[19] Univ Queensland, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
[20] Univ Tasmania, Sch Nat Sci, Hobart, Tas, Australia
[21] James Cook Univ, TropWATER Ctr, Townsville, Qld, Australia
关键词
TEMPERATURE EXTREMES; RAINFALL VARIABILITY; HEAT WAVES; EL-NINO; AUSTRALIA; WEATHER; SEA; CONSERVATION; GRASSLAND; FOREST;
D O I
10.1038/s41558-018-0187-9
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The interaction of gradual climate trends and extreme weather events since the turn of the century has triggered complex and, in some cases, catastrophic ecological responses around the world. We illustrate this using Australian examples within a press-pulse framework. Despite the Australian biota being adapted to high natural climate variability, recent combinations of climatic presses and pulses have led to population collapses, loss of relictual communities and shifts into novel ecosystems. These changes have been sudden and unpredictable, and may represent permanent transitions to new ecosystem states without adaptive management interventions. The press-pulse framework helps illuminate biological responses to climate change, grounds debate about suitable management interventions and highlights possible consequences of (non-) intervention.
引用
收藏
页码:579 / 587
页数:9
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