Comparison of scoring systems and outcome of patients admitted to a liver intensive care unit of a tertiary referral centre with severe variceal bleeding

被引:20
作者
Al-Freah, M. A. B. [1 ]
Gera, A. [1 ]
Martini, S. [1 ]
McPhail, M. J. W. [1 ]
Devlin, J. [1 ]
Harrison, P. M. [1 ]
Shawcross, D. [1 ]
Abeles, R. D. [1 ]
Taylor, N. J. [1 ]
Auzinger, G. [1 ]
Bernal, W. [1 ]
Heneghan, M. A. [1 ]
Wendon, J. A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Kings Coll Hosp London, Inst Liver Studies, London SE5 9RS, England
基金
英国惠康基金;
关键词
CRITICALLY-ILL PATIENTS; ORGAN FAILURE ASSESSMENT; SHORT-TERM PROGNOSIS; BLOOD LACTATE LEVELS; CIRRHOTIC-PATIENTS; HOSPITAL MORTALITY; IMPROVED SURVIVAL; PREDICTORS; MANAGEMENT; ARTICLE;
D O I
10.1111/apt.12744
中图分类号
R57 [消化系及腹部疾病];
学科分类号
摘要
BackgroundAcute variceal haemorrhage (AVH) is associated with significant mortality. AimsTo determine outcome and factors associated with hospital mortality (HM) in patients with AVH admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) and to compare outcomes of patients requiring transfer to a tertiary ICU (transfer group, TG) to a local in-patient group (LG). MethodsA retrospective study of all adult patients (N=177) admitted to ICU with AVH from 2000-2008 was performed. ResultsMedian age was 48years (16-80). Male represented 58%. Median MELD score was 16 (6-39), SOFA score was 8 (6-11). HM was higher in patients who had severe liver disease or critical illness measured by MELD, SOFA, APACHE II scores and number of failed organs (NFO), P<0.05. Patients with day-1 lactate 2mmol/L had increased HM (P<0.001). MELD score performed as well as APACHE II, SOFA and NFO (P<0.001) in predicting HM (AUROC=0.84, 0.81, 0.79 and 0.82, respectively P>0.05 for pair wise comparisons). Re-bleeding was associated with increased HM (56.9% vs. 31.6%, P=0.002). The TG (n=124) had less severe liver disease and critical illness and consequently had lower HM than local patients (32% vs. 57%, P=0.002). TG patients with 2 endoscopies prior to transfer had increased 6-week mortality (P=0.03). Time from bleeding to transfer 3days was associated with re-bleeding (OR=2.290, P=0.043). ConclusionsMELD score was comparable to ICU prognostic models in predicting mortality. Blood lactate was also predictive of hospital mortality. Delays in referrals and repeated endoscopy were associated with increased re-bleeding and mortality in this group.
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页码:1286 / 1300
页数:15
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