Regression estimation from an individual stable sequence

被引:11
作者
Morvai, G
Kulkarni, SR
Nobel, AB
机构
[1] Tech Univ Budapest, Res Grp Informat & Elect, Hungarian Acad Sci, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Theory, H-1521 Budapest, Hungary
[2] Princeton Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[3] Univ N Carolina, Dept Stat, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
关键词
nonparametric estimation; regression estimation; individual sequences; ergodic time series;
D O I
10.1080/02331889908802686
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider univariate regression estimation from an individual (non-random) sequence (x(1),y(1)), (x(2),y(2)),..is an element of R x R, which is stable in the sense that for each interval A subset of or equal to R, (i) the limiting relative frequency of A under x(1),x(2),... is governed by an unknown probability distribution mu, and (ii) the limiting average of those y(i) with x(i) is an element of A is governed by an unknown regression function m(.). A computationally simple scheme for estimating m(.) is exhibited, and is shown to be L-2 consistent for stable sequences {(x(i),y(i))} such that {y(i)} is bounded and there is a known upper bound for the variation of m(.) on intervals of the form (- i, i], i greater than or equal to 1. Complementing this positive result, it is shown that there is no consistent estimation scheme for the family of stable sequences whose regression functions have finite variation, even under the restriction that x(i) is an element of [0, 1] and y(i) is binary-valued.
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页码:99 / 118
页数:20
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