Information, expectations and monetary policy: Keynes's and Friedman's complementary lessons for today

被引:0
作者
Rivot, Sylvie [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Mulhouse, Mulhouse, France
关键词
Endogenous money; Expectations; Interest rate; Money supply; Monetary consensus; Policy rule; GENERAL-THEORY; UNCERTAINTY; MONEY; PERSPECTIVE;
D O I
10.1093/cje/bew028
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper considers what lessons there might be for our contemporary 'monetary consensus' in Keynes's and Friedman's respective policy principles. I focus first on the expectations issue. For both Keynes and Friedman, monetary policy aims at the stabilisation of expectations; and in both cases, major issues arise for knowledge and uncertainty, although each conceives this in a different manner. Next I deal with the core of monetary policy principles: while Keynes's approach is at odds with our modern strategy of inflation-targeting, Friedman would warn us that, even in this case, interest-rate manipulation might not be the appropriate approach. The analysis concludes with the issue of interest rate determination-the issue of intertemporal coordination and financial stability. Policy principles are always rooted in theoretical investigation: Keynes's approach is based upon an analysis of intertemporal coordination failures, whereas Friedman's policy schemes require that financial markets be made perfectly competitive.
引用
收藏
页码:637 / 660
页数:24
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