This paper presents a new methodology for making strategic dozer deployment plans for wildfire initial response planning for a given fire season. This approach combines a fire behaviour simulation, a wildfire risk model and a probabilistically constrained stochastic integer programming model, and takes into account the level of risk the decision-maker is willing to take when making deployment and dispatching plans. The new methodology was applied to Texas District 12, a Texas A&M Forest Service fire planning unit located in East Texas. This study demonstrates the effect of the decision-maker's risk attitude level on deployment decisions in terms of the dozers positioned at each operations base, fires contained and their associated wildfire risk, and total containment cost. The results show that the total number of fires contained and their associated total expected cost increase when the tolerance towards risk decreases. Thus, more dozers are deployed to operations bases in areas with high wildfire risk and a high need for initial response.
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Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Braun, W. John
Jones, Bruce L.
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Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Jones, Bruce L.
Lee, Jonathan S. W.
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Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Lee, Jonathan S. W.
Woolford, Douglas G.
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Wilfrid Laurier Univ, Dept Math, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Woolford, Douglas G.
Wotton, B. Mike
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Univ Toronto, Fac Forestry, Toronto, ON M5S 3B3, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
机构:
Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Braun, W. John
Jones, Bruce L.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Jones, Bruce L.
Lee, Jonathan S. W.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Lee, Jonathan S. W.
Woolford, Douglas G.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Wilfrid Laurier Univ, Dept Math, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada
Woolford, Douglas G.
Wotton, B. Mike
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Toronto, Fac Forestry, Toronto, ON M5S 3B3, CanadaUniv Western Ontario, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, London, ON N6A 5B7, Canada