The albumin-bilirubin score as a predictor of outcomes in Japanese patients with PBC: an analysis using time-dependent ROC

被引:15
作者
Ito, Takanori [1 ]
Ishigami, Masatoshi [1 ]
Morooka, Hikaru [1 ]
Yamamoto, Kenta [1 ]
Imai, Norihiro [1 ]
Ishizu, Yoji [1 ]
Honda, Takashi [1 ]
Nishimura, Daisaku [2 ]
Tada, Toshifumi [3 ]
Yasuda, Satoshi [4 ]
Toyoda, Hidenori [4 ]
Kumada, Takashi [5 ]
Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro [1 ]
机构
[1] Nagoya Univ, Dept Gastroenterol & Hepatol, Grad Sch Med, Showa Ku, 65 Tsurumai Cho, Nagoya, Aichi 4668550, Japan
[2] Toyota Kosei Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Toyota, Japan
[3] Himeji Red Cross Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Himeji, Hyogo, Japan
[4] Ogaki Municipal Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol & Hepatol, Gifu, Japan
[5] Gifu Kyoritsu Univ, Dept Nursing, Gifu, Japan
关键词
PRIMARY BILIARY-CIRRHOSIS; HEPATOCELLULAR-CARCINOMA; URSODEOXYCHOLIC ACID; BIOCHEMICAL RESPONSE; HEPATIC-FUNCTION; TERM SURVIVAL; MODEL; PROGNOSIS;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-020-74732-3
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is calculated using only serum albumin and bilirubin levels, and was developed as a simple method to assess hepatic function. In this study, a total of 409 patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) were enrolled between March 1990 and October 2018. The predictive performances of the ALBI score and other well-established prognostic scores were compared using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. During the follow-up period, 60 patients died, 45 due to liver-related diseases and 15 due to non-liver-related diseases, and 16 patients underwent liver transplantation. Time-dependent ROC analysis showed that the ALBI score has higher the areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) than the Child-Pugh (C-P) score at each time point; AUROCs at 3, 5, and 10 years after the start of follow-up were 0.94, 0.91, and 0.90 for the ALBI score, and 0.89, 0.88, and 0.82 for the C-P score, respectively. The ALBI score showed the highest AUROCs within 2 years after the start of observation; beyond 2 years, however, the Mayo score had better prognostic ability for mortality and liver transplantation. The ALBI score/grade, derived from objective blood tests, and the Mayo score were superior prognostic tools in PBC patients.
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页数:9
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