Risk Index in Uncertain Random Risk Analysis

被引:51
作者
Liu, Yuhan [1 ]
Ralescu, Dan A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cincinnati, Dept Math Sci, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Uncertainty theory; uncertain random variable; chance measure; risk analysis;
D O I
10.1142/S021848851450024X
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In many systems, randomness and uncertainty are present simultaneously. Uncertain random variables provide a tool to deal with these inexact phenomena. This paper proposes a concept of risk index to quantify the risk of an uncertain random system. In addition, a risk index theorem is proved in order to calculate the risk index, and is applied to series systems, parallel systems and standby systems. Finally, a concept of expected loss is suggested for an uncertain random system.
引用
收藏
页码:491 / 504
页数:14
相关论文
共 20 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], AIRCRAFT ENG AEROSPA
[2]  
[Anonymous], UNCERTAIN RANDOM MUL
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2009, THEORY PRACTICE UNCE
[4]  
[Anonymous], SUBADDITIVITY CHANCE
[5]  
[Anonymous], LAW LARGE NUMBERS UN
[6]  
[Anonymous], UNCERTAIN RANDOM GOA
[7]  
[Anonymous], MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIM
[8]   PROSPECT THEORY - ANALYSIS OF DECISION UNDER RISK [J].
KAHNEMAN, D ;
TVERSKY, A .
ECONOMETRICA, 1979, 47 (02) :263-291
[9]  
Kolmogorov A., 1933, Grundbegriffe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
[10]  
Liu B, 2010, J Uncertain Syst, V4, P163