Monetary policy transmission in a model with animal spirits and house price booms and busts

被引:17
作者
Bofinger, Peter [1 ]
Debes, Sebastian [1 ]
Gareis, Johannes [1 ]
Mayer, Eric [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Wurzburg, Dept Econ, Sanderring 2, D-97070 Wurzburg, Germany
关键词
Monetary policy; Animal spirits; Housing markets; HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS; MACROECONOMIC STABILITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.jedc.2013.08.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Can monetary policy trigger pronounced boom-bust cycles in house prices and create persistent business cycles? We address this question by building heuristics into an otherwise standard DSGE model. As a result, monetary policy sets off waves of optimism and pessimism ("animal spirits") that drive house prices, that, in turn, have strong repercussions on the business cycle. We compare our findings to a standard model with rational expectations by means of impulse responses. We suggest that a standard Taylor rule is not well-suited to maintain macroeconomic stability. Instead, an augmented rule that incorporates house prices is shown to be superior. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2862 / 2881
页数:20
相关论文
共 43 条
[1]  
Anderson S.P., 1992, Discrete Choice Theory of Product Differentiation, DOI 10.7551/mitpress/2450.001.0001
[2]   INTEREST RATE RULES AND MACROECONOMIC STABILITY UNDER HETEROGENEOUS EXPECTATIONS [J].
Anufriev, Mikhail ;
Assenza, Tiziana ;
Hommes, Cars ;
Massaro, Domenico .
MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS, 2013, 17 (08) :1574-1604
[3]  
Aspachs-Bracons O, 2011, INT J CENT BANK, V7, P225
[4]   The drivers of housing cycles in Spain [J].
Aspachs-Bracons, Oriol ;
Rabanal, Pau .
SERIES-JOURNAL OF THE SPANISH ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 2010, 1 (1-2) :101-130
[5]   SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECIES [J].
AZARIADIS, C .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 1981, 25 (03) :380-396
[6]   Sticky-price models and durable goods [J].
Barsky, Robert B. ;
House, Christopher L. ;
Kimball, Miles S. .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2007, 97 (03) :984-998
[7]   INDETERMINACY AND INCREASING RETURNS [J].
BENHABIB, J ;
FARMER, REA .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 1994, 63 (01) :19-41
[8]   Intrinsic heterogeneity in expectation formation [J].
Branch, WA ;
Evans, GW .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2006, 127 (01) :264-295
[9]   A New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations [J].
Branch, William A. ;
McGough, Bruce .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2009, 33 (05) :1036-1051
[10]  
Brazier A, 2008, INT J CENT BANK, V4, P219