Two decades of the Eurotransplant Senior Program: the gender gap in mortality impacts patient survival after kidney transplantation

Background. Long-term outcomes of the Eurotransplant Senior Program (ESP) are urgently needed to improve selection criteria and allocation policies in the elderly. Methods. We analysed patient and allograft outcomes of 244 ESP-kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) between 1999 and 2019 and assessed quality of living compared with 82 ESP-waitlisted dialysis patients using standardized short form-8. Results. We observed 1-, 5- and 10-year patient survival of 91.7, 66.3 and 38.0%, respectively. Mortality risk factors included male gender (P = 0.006) and T-cell-mediated rejection (P < 0.001). Median patient survival of male ESP-KTRs was 80 versus 131 months for female ESP-KTRs (P = 0.006). 1-, 5- and 10-year death-censored allograft survival was 93.3, 82.6 and 70.4%. Risk factors included high body mass index (P < 0.001) and T-cell-mediated rejection (P < 0.001). After re-initiation of dialysis median patient survival was 58 months. Change of estimated glomerular filtration rate showed a mean decline of 2.3 and 6.8 mL/min at 5 and 10 years. Median physical and mental component scores of ESP-KTRs were 40.2 and 48.3, significantly higher compared with dialysis patients (P < 0.05). Of ESP-KTRs, 97.5% who underwent transplantation would again do so. Conclusions. Long-term outcomes of ESP-KTRs ultimately support the effectiveness of an age-matched allocation system. Our data suggest that the survival advantage of women is maintained after kidney transplantation and calls for gender-specific care.