branching process with immigration;
integer-valued time series;
local-to-unity asymptotics;
near unit root;
Poisson limit experiment;
ADAPTIVE ESTIMATION;
INFERENCE;
EFFICIENCY;
ENTRY;
QUEUE;
D O I:
10.3150/08-BEJ153
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
This paper considers non-negative integer-valued autoregressive processes where the autoregression parameter is close to unity. We consider the asymptotics of this 'near unit root' situation. The local asymptotic Structure of the likelihood ratios of the model is obtained, showing that the limit experiment is Poissonian. To illustrate the statistical consequences we discuss efficient estimation of the autoregression parameter and efficient testing for a unit root.