Dynamic Change and Analysis of Driving Factors of Carbon Emissions from Traffic and Transportation Energy Consumption in Jilin Province

被引:6
作者
Gao, Biao [1 ]
Xu, Qing-tao [1 ]
Li, Yu-bo [1 ]
机构
[1] Baicheng Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Baicheng City 137000, Peoples R China
来源
MECHANICAL SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING IV | 2014年 / 472卷
关键词
traffic and transportation; energy consumption; carbon emissions; Environmental Kuznets Curve; STIRPAT model; driving factors; Jilin Province;
D O I
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.472.851
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Based on the traffic and transportation energy consumption, the carbon emissions of traffic and transportation energy consumption are obtained by using the estimation model of carbon emissions from 1999 to 2011 in Jilin Province, and the dynamic changes and the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) of carbon emissions are analyzed. The result indicates that the carbon emission of traffic and transportation energy consumption increased continuously from 99.3750x10(4) t to 331.8255x10(4) t between 1999 and 2011 in Jilin Province, the change process is divided into three stages which include the stage of the stationary growth phase, accelerated growth stage and slow growth stage, the large consumption of diesel energy is the main reason of the rapid growth in carbon emissions. The EKC of carbon emission shows the "inverted U" shape roughly and the turning point appeared in 2011, after 2011, carbon emissions will decrease along with the economic growth. Based on the STIRPAT model, the study reveals that elasticity coefficients of driving factors such as population, per capita GDP, the unit GDP energy consumption, the investment of traffic and transportation, city rate, the number of private cars are 0.2344, 0.2202, -0.2247, 0.1657, 0.2864 and 0.2163, respectively. Jilin Province must implement effective measures to change the existing development mode of traffic and transportation, change the energy structure, and increase the innovation of scientific and technological, to strive for the realization of negative growth in carbon emissions of traffic and transportation energy consumption.
引用
收藏
页码:851 / 855
页数:5
相关论文
共 6 条
  • [1] Kyoto and the carbon footprint of nations
    Aichele, Rahel
    Felbermayr, Gabriel
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT, 2012, 63 (03) : 336 - 354
  • [2] [焦文献 Jiao Wenxian], 2012, [资源科学, Resources Science], V34, P559
  • [3] Su Chengyuan, 2012, Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development, V29, P142, DOI 10.3969/j.issn.1002-0268.2012.03.025
  • [4] STIRPAT, IPAT and ImPACT: analytic tools for unpacking the driving forces of environmental impacts
    York, R
    Rosa, EA
    Dietz, T
    [J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2003, 46 (03) : 351 - 365
  • [5] [张乐勤 Zhang Leqin], 2012, [资源科学, Resources Science], V34, P316
  • [6] ZHAO Min, 2009, RES ENV SCI, V28, P981