Climate Change, Hydro-Dependency, and the African Dam Boom

被引：41

作者：

Strobl, Eric ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Ecole Polytech, F-75230 Paris, France

来源：

WORLD DEVELOPMENT | 2014年 / 60卷

关键词：

hydropower; climate change; Africa; energy; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; RAINFALL; ENERGY;

D O I：

10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.03.016

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

We examine Africa's increasing reliance on hydropower in light of climate change-induced variations in rainfall and the potential power outages that may result. We use a continent wide riverflow model and IPPC climate change scenarios and show that current plans for African dam building are fairly well matched with river-flow predictions so that fears that international donors and national governments are making a series of expensive and environmentally damaging investments may be overstated. However, predictions of an increase in extreme events and reduced rainfall for certain countries mean there are still viability concerns for certain planned hydropower investments. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：84 / 98

页数：15