Impact of climate change on the wheat-growing season over Iran

被引：10

作者：

Roshan, Gholamreza ^{[1
]}

Oji, Ruhollah ^{[2
]}

Al-Yahyai, Sultan ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Golestan Univ, Dept Geog, Gorgan, Iran

[2] Univ Modarres, Dept Geog, Tehran, Iran

[3] Publ Author Civil Aviat, Oman Natl Weather Serv, Muscat, Oman

来源：

ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES | 2014年 / 7卷 / 08期

关键词：

GCM; Degree day; Growing season length; Wheat; Autumn; Iran; ELEVATED CO2; TEMPERATURE; RICE; RESPONSES; AGRICULTURE; INDICATORS; SCENARIOS; YIELDS; CROPS; INDIA;

D O I：

10.1007/s12517-013-0917-2

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

The objective of this paper is to derive and analyze the present and future climate projections over the region of wheat production over Iran. In addition, the projected future climate fluctuation results will be used to assist the maximum performance of wheat and to be used as the main basis for planning changes in the farming calendar in Iran. Observed climate (temperature and degree day) changes during the period (1951-2009) will be discussed. Projected future changes up to 2100 based on the MAGICC/SCENGEN 5.3 compound model was utilized. Furthermore, 18 scenarios were used to derive a single GCM model referred to as the United Kingdom Hadley Center Global Environment Model, which will be used to select the worst, best, and average scenario.

引用

页码：3217 / 3226

页数：10

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