The global tree restoration potential

被引:1270
作者
Bastin, Jean-Francois [1 ]
Finegold, Yelena [2 ]
Garcia, Claude [3 ,4 ]
Mollicone, Danilo [2 ]
Rezende, Marcelo [2 ]
Routh, Devin [1 ]
Zohner, Constantin M. [1 ]
Crowther, Thomas W. [1 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Integrat Biol, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Crowther Lab, Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Food & Agr Org United Nations, Rome, Italy
[3] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Integrat Biol, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Zurich, Switzerland
[4] Ctr Cooperat Int Rech Agron Dev CIRAD, UR Forest & Soc, Montpellier, France
关键词
FOREST; EXTENT; MODEL;
D O I
10.1126/science.aax0848
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The restoration of trees remains among the most effective strategies for climate change mitigation. We mapped the global potential tree coverage to show that 4.4 billion hectares of canopy cover could exist under the current climate. Excluding existing trees and agricultural and urban areas, we found that there is room for an extra 0.9 billion hectares of canopy cover, which could store 205 gigatonnes of carbon in areas that would naturally support woodlands and forests. This highlights global tree restoration as our most effective climate change solution to date. However, climate change will alter this potential tree coverage. We estimate that if we cannot deviate from the current trajectory, the global potential canopy cover may shrink by similar to 223 million hectares by 2050, with the vast majority of losses occurring in the tropics. Our results highlight the opportunity of climate change mitigation through global tree restoration but also the urgent need for action.
引用
收藏
页码:76 / +
页数:30
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