Deep Learning Approach to Power Demand Forecasting in Polish Power System

被引:7
|
作者
Ciechulski, Tomasz [1 ]
Osowski, Stanislaw [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Mil Univ Technol, Fac Elect, Ul Gen S Kaliskiego 2, PL-00908 Warsaw, Poland
[2] Warsaw Univ Technol, Fac Elect Engn, Pl Politech 1, PL-00661 Warsaw, Poland
关键词
power demand forecasting; diagnostic features; neural networks; deep learning;
D O I
10.3390/en13226154
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The paper presents a new approach to predicting the 24-h electricity power demand in the Polish Power System (PPS, or Krajowy System Elektroenergetyczny-KSE) using the deep learning approach. The prediction system uses a deep multilayer autoencoder to generate diagnostic features and an ensemble of two neural networks: multilayer perceptron and radial basis function network and support vector machine in regression model, for final 24-h forecast one-week advance. The period of the data that is the subject of the experiments is 2014-2019, which has been divided into two parts: Learning data (2014-2018), and test data (2019). The numerical experiments have shown the advantage of deep learning over classical approaches of neural networks for the problem of power demand prediction.
引用
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页数:13
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