Dynamic consistency of expected utility under non-classical (quantum) uncertainty

被引:8
|
作者
Danilov, V. I. [1 ]
Lambert-Mogiliansky, A. [2 ]
Vergopoulos, V. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Cent Math Econ Inst, Moscow, Russia
[2] Paris Sch Econ, Paris, France
[3] Univ Paris 1 Pantheon Sorbonne, Paris, France
关键词
Quantum lottery; Decision-making; Uncertainty; Dynamic consistency; PROBABILITY;
D O I
10.1007/s11238-018-9659-7
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Quantum cognition in decision making is a recent and rapidly growing field. In this paper, we develop an expected utility theory in a context of non-classical (quantum) uncertainty. We replace the classical state space with a Hilbert space which allows introducing the concept of quantum lottery. Within that framework, we formulate axioms on preferences over quantum lotteries to establish a representation theorem. We show that demanding the consistency of choice behavior conditional on new information is equivalent to the von Neumann-Luders postulate applied to beliefs. A dynamically consistent quantum-like agent may violate dynamic recursive consistency, however. This feature suggests interesting applications in behavioral economics as we illustrate in an example of persuasion.
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页码:645 / 670
页数:26
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