The pricing efficiency of crude oil futures in the Shanghai International Exchange

被引:52
作者
Yang Chen [1 ]
Lv Fei [1 ]
Fang Libing [1 ]
Shang Xingxing [1 ]
机构
[1] Nanjing Univ, Sch Management & Engn, 22 Hankou Rd, Nanjing 210093, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Pricing efficiency; Crude oil market; Granger causality; Cointegration; COMMODITY FUTURES; ASIAN PREMIUM; MARKETS; SPOT; DISCOVERY; PRICES; TESTS; WTI; COINTEGRATION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2019.101329
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We investigate the pricing efficiency of the newly emerged crude oil futures market of the Shanghai International Exchange (INE) from the perspective of cointegration and Granger causality between the returns on INE crude oil futures and some representative spot markets. With a limited sample period, we employ a series of robust statistics and find that the INE crude oil futures' returns have an equilibrium relationship with the spot returns on the Daqing, Shengli, Oman, WTI, and Brent spot markets. Both imply that the INE crude oil futures price can reflect the fundamental information of spot markets effectively. The evidence of Granger causality is mixed but supports the efficiency of the INE in the Asia-Pacific region.
引用
收藏
页数:8
相关论文
共 33 条
[1]   "Asian premium" or "North Atlantic discount": Does geographical diversification in oil trade always impose costs? [J].
AlKathiri, Nader ;
Al-Rashed, Yazeed ;
Doshi, Tilak K. ;
Murphy, Frederic H. .
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2017, 66 :411-420
[2]   WHAT DO WE LEARN FROM THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL FUTURES? [J].
Alquist, Ron ;
Kilian, Lutz .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2010, 25 (04) :539-573
[3]   VARIANCE-RATIO TESTS OF RANDOM WALK: AN OVERVIEW [J].
Charles, Amelie ;
Darne, Olivier .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC SURVEYS, 2009, 23 (03) :503-527
[4]   A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing [J].
Diks, Cees ;
Panchenko, Valentyn .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 2006, 30 (9-10) :1647-1669
[5]   Price discovery in crude oil futures [J].
Elder, John ;
Miao, Hong ;
Ramchander, Sanjay .
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2014, 46 :S18-S27
[6]   A leader of the world commodity futures markets in the making? The case of China's commodity futures [J].
Fung, Hung-Gay ;
Tse, Yiuman ;
Yau, Jot ;
Zhao, Lin .
INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2013, 27 :103-114
[7]   THE INFORMATION FLOW AND MARKET EFFICIENCY BETWEEN THE US AND CHINESE ALUMINUM AND COPPER FUTURES MARKETS [J].
Fung, Hung-Gay ;
Liu, Qingfeng 'Wilson' ;
Tse, Yiuman .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2010, 30 (12) :1192-1209
[8]   PRICE MOVEMENTS AND PRICE DISCOVERY IN FUTURES AND CASH MARKETS [J].
GARBADE, KD ;
SILBER, WL .
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 1983, 65 (02) :289-297
[9]   Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts [J].
Gregory, AW ;
Hansen, BE .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1996, 70 (01) :99-126
[10]  
Gulen G.S., 1998, J ENERGY FINANCE DEV, V3, P13