WRF inversion base height ensembles for simulating marine boundary layer stratocumulus

被引:9
|
作者
Zhong, Xiaohui [1 ]
Sahu, Dipak K. [1 ]
Kleissl, Jan [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Ctr Renewable Resources & Integrat, Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
关键词
WRF; IBH; MBL; Stratocumulus; SOUTHEAST PACIFIC; MODEL; PREDICTION; SCHEMES; CONVECTION; FORECASTS; OCEAN;
D O I
10.1016/j.solener.2017.02.021
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Increasing distributed rooftop solar photovoltaic generation in the southern California coast necessitates accurate solar forecasts. In summertime mornings marine boundary layer stratocumulus commonly covers the southern California coast. The inland extent of cloud cover varies primarily depending on the temperature inversion base height (IBH, i.e. boundary layer height) and topography as confirmed using radiosonde sounding measurement and satellite irradiance data. Most operational numerical weather prediction models consistently overestimate irradiance and underpredict cloud cover extent and cloud thickness, presumably due to an underprediction of IBH. A thermodynamic method was developed to modify the boundary layer temperature and moisture profiles to better represent the boundary layer structure in the Weather and Research Forecasting model (WRF). Validation against satellite global horizontal irradiance (GHI) demonstrated that the best IBH ensemble improves GHI accuracy by 23% mean absolute error compared to the baseline WRF model and is similar to 24-h persistence forecasts for coastal marine layer region. The spatial error maps showed deeper inland cloud cover. Validation against ground observations showed that IBH ensembles were able to outperform persistence forecast at coastal stations. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:50 / 64
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Diurnal course analysis of the WRF-simulated and observation-based planetary boundary layer height
    Breuer, H.
    Acs, F.
    Horvath, A.
    Nemeth, P.
    Rajkai, K.
    ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH, 2014, 11 : 83 - 88
  • [32] Sensitivity analysis of the WRF simulated planetary boundary layer height to synoptic conditions over eastern China
    Li, Yarong
    He, Jianjun
    Li, Jiming
    Ren, Hong-Li
    Wang, Hong
    Luo, Wangjun
    Gong, Sunling
    Che, Huizheng
    Zhang, Xiaoye
    ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2024, 303
  • [33] PROBLEMS IN SIMULATING THE STRATOCUMULUS-TOPPED BOUNDARY-LAYER WITH A 3RD-ORDER CLOSURE-MODEL
    MOENG, CH
    RANDALL, DA
    JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1984, 41 (09) : 1588 - 1600
  • [34] Two-wavelength Lidar inversion algorithm for determining planetary boundary layer height
    Liu, Boming
    Ma, Yingying
    Gong, Wei
    Jian, Yang
    Ming, Zhang
    JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE SPECTROSCOPY & RADIATIVE TRANSFER, 2018, 206 : 117 - 124
  • [35] Convective boundary layer height measurement with wind profilers and comparison to cloud base
    Grimsdell, AW
    Angevine, WM
    JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY, 1998, 15 (06) : 1331 - 1338
  • [36] Large-Eddy Simulation Of A Nocturnal Stratocumulus-Topped Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer: An Uncertainty Analysis
    Andreas Chlond
    Andreas Wolkau
    Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 2000, 95 : 31 - 55
  • [37] Effects of airmass type on the interaction between warm stratocumulus and underlying cumulus clouds in the marine boundary-layer
    Martin, GM
    Johnson, DW
    Jonas, PR
    Rogers, DP
    Brooks, IM
    Barlow, RW
    QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1997, 123 (540) : 849 - 882
  • [38] Large-eddy simulation of a nocturnal stratocumulus-topped marine atmospheric boundary layer: An uncertainty analysis
    Chlond, A
    Wolkau, A
    BOUNDARY-LAYER METEOROLOGY, 2000, 95 (01) : 31 - 55
  • [39] OBSERVATIONS OF THE INTERACTION BETWEEN CUMULUS CLOUDS AND WARM STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE MARINE BOUNDARY-LAYER DURING ASTEX
    MARTIN, GM
    JOHNSON, DW
    ROGERS, DP
    JONAS, PR
    MINNIS, P
    HEGG, DA
    JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1995, 52 (16) : 2902 - 2922
  • [40] DIURNAL EVOLUTION OF THE CLOUD-TOPPED MARINE BOUNDARY-LAYER .1. NOCTURNAL STRATOCUMULUS DEVELOPMENT
    ROGERS, DP
    YANG, XH
    NORRIS, PM
    JOHNSON, DW
    MARTIN, GM
    FRIEHE, CA
    BERGER, BW
    JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1995, 52 (16) : 2953 - 2966