Cross-Validation for the Uncertain Chapman-Richards Growth Model with Imprecise Observations

被引:28
作者
Liu, Zhe [1 ]
Jia, Lifen [2 ]
机构
[1] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Math Sci, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[2] Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Management & Engn, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Regression analysis; cross-validation; Chapman-Richards growth model; uncertainty theory; imprecise observations; LINEAR-REGRESSION ANALYSIS; FUZZY; SELECTION;
D O I
10.1142/S0218488520500336
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Regression analysis estimates the relationships among variables which has been widely used in growth curves, and cross-validation as a model selection method assesses the generalization ability of regression models. Classical methods assume that the observation values of variables are precise numbers while in many cases data are imprecisely collected. So this paper explores the Chapman-Richards growth model which is one of the widely used growth models with imprecise observations under the framework of uncertainty theory. The least squares estimates of unknown parameters in this model are given. Moreover, cross-validation with imprecise observations is proposed. Furthermore, estimates of the expected value and variance of the uncertain error using residuals are given. In addition, ways to predict the value of response variable with new observed values of predictor variables are discussed. Finally, a numerical example illustrates our approach.
引用
收藏
页码:769 / 783
页数:15
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