Can google trends improve sales forecasts on a product level?

被引:4
作者
Fritzsch, Benjamin [1 ]
Wenger, Kai [2 ]
Sibbertsen, Philipp [2 ]
Ullmann, Georg [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst Integrierte Prod Hannover gGmbH, Hannover, Germany
[2] Leibniz Univ Hannover, Sch Econ & Management, Hannover, Germany
关键词
Google econometrics; forecasting; search query data; SEARCH DATA; UNEMPLOYMENT;
D O I
10.1080/13504851.2019.1686110
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Combining standard time series models with search query data can be helpful in predicting sales. We include the search volume of company as well as product-related keywords provided by Google Trends as new predictors in models to forecast sales on a product level. Using weekly data from January 2015 to December 2016 of two products of the audio company Sennheiser we find evidence that using Google Trends data can enhance the prediction performance of conventional models.
引用
收藏
页码:1409 / 1414
页数:6
相关论文
共 13 条
[1]   Google search keywords that best predict energy price volatility [J].
Afkhami, Mohamad ;
Cormack, Lindsey ;
Ghoddusi, Hamed .
ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2017, 67 :17-27
[2]   Can Google Trends Improve Your Sales Forecast? [J].
Boone, Tonya ;
Ganeshan, Ram ;
Hicks, Robert L. ;
Sanders, Nada R. .
PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT, 2018, 27 (10) :1770-1774
[3]   Google Trends and the forecasting performance of exchange rate models [J].
Bulut, Levent .
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2018, 37 (03) :303-315
[4]  
Choi H., 2009, PREDICTING INITIAL C, V1, P1, DOI DOI 10.1145/1621890.1621893
[5]   Predicting the Present with Google Trends [J].
Choi, Hyunyoung ;
Varian, Hal .
ECONOMIC RECORD, 2012, 88 :2-9
[6]   The Operational Value of Social Media Information [J].
Cui, Ruomeng ;
Gallino, Santiago ;
Moreno, Antonio ;
Zhang, Dennis J. .
PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT, 2018, 27 (10) :1749-1769
[7]   The predictive power of Google searches in forecasting US unemployment [J].
D'Amuri, Francesco ;
Marcucci, Juri .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 2017, 33 (04) :801-816
[8]   COMPARING PREDICTIVE ACCURACY [J].
DIEBOLD, FX ;
MARIANO, RS .
JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 1995, 13 (03) :253-263
[9]   Using Web-based search data to predict macroeconomic statistics [J].
Ettredge, M ;
Gerdes, J ;
Karuga, G .
COMMUNICATIONS OF THE ACM, 2005, 48 (11) :87-92
[10]   Can Google econometrics predict unemployment? Evidence from Spain [J].
Gonzalez-Fernandez, Marcos ;
Gonzalez-Velasco, Carmen .
ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2018, 170 :42-45